Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:19:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x84cd…3ac3
crypto · 23 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$72 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses13 / 10
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage1d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day138.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$72
14 days−$72
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$23 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $55 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$9 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $61 +$17 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $77 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$18 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $33 +$15 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$16 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $57 +$14 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$39 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$26 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$22 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$27 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$10 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$56
sports 3% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $26 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $28 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -1.2% -10.6% 57% 39% -17.9%
≤30d 23 -1.2% -10.6% 57% 39% -17.9%
≤90d 23 -1.2% -10.6% 57% 39% -17.9%
all 23 -1.2% -10.6% 57% 39% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover138.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 39% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 35% -25.8%
15% -27.0% 22% -32.9%
20% -34.1% 13% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 138 history records