trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 0% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 38% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 16 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 50% | 6% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 6% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 0% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $34 | $34 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 24 | $45 | $0 | -1% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $8 | $0 | -5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 26 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $25 | −$1 | -3% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $28 | +$2 | +6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 26 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $8 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 21 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Na Kyung-won be the People's Power Party candidate for president? | Apr 19 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | Mar 23 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 54-55°F on March 17? | Mar 17 | $11 | $0 | -4% |