Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:26:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x84a8…28b7
sports · 32 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$21 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$21
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses14 / 17
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)31 / 32
History coverage16d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$9
14 days+$0
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham Open: Tatjana Maria vs Janice Tjen Janice Tjen 50¢ 37¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-26%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Hanne Vandewinkel 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Alexis Galarneau 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Pablo Carreno Busta 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Birmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Himeno Sakatsume Himeno Sakatsume 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Alejandro Tabilo 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang Xiyu Wang 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marc Polmans Marc Polmans 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Julia Grabher 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkel Hanne Vandewinkel 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Daria Kasatkina 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Darja Semenistaja 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Denis Shapovalov 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $6 +$10 +165%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $6 −$6 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Jun 09 $5 +$6 +119%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 09 $5 +$4 +79%
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Jun 09 $5 +$1 +27%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 09 $25 −$3 -10%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $5 +$4 +76%
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 09 $5 +$8 +165%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $5 +$3 +57%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic Jun 07 $20 $0 +0%
Libema Open, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs James McCabe Jun 06 $5 +$6 +124%
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marc Polmans Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 05 $5 +$6 +114%
Birmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Himeno Sakatsume Jun 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 01 $5 +$7 +134%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $5 +$9 +172%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 01 $5 +$7 +140%
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkel May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $5 +$40 +786%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 29 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang May 29 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina May 29 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open: Tatjana Maria vs Janice Tjen BUY Janice Tjen 50¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 26¢ $6 28h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 17¢ $6 46h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 31¢ $6 3d
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Hanne Vandewinkel 29¢ $6 3d
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Zeynep Sonmez 37¢ $6 3d
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Julia Grabher 72¢ $5 4d
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja BUY Darja Semenistaja 50¢ $5 4d
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana BUY Mary Stoiana 78¢ $5 5d
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja BUY Darja Semenistaja 55¢ $5 5d
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek BUY Sara Bejlek 37¢ $5 5d
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov BUY Denis Shapovalov 46¢ $3 6d
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov BUY Denis Shapovalov 46¢ $2 6d
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher BUY Julia Grabher 45¢ $5 6d
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau BUY Alexis Galarneau 31¢ $5 6d
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 37¢ $5 6d
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $5 6d
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce BUY Martin Landaluce 63¢ $5 6d
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic BUY Benjamin Bonzi 74¢ $15 7d
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek BUY Dayana Yastremska 66¢ $15 7d
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic BUY Bernard Tomic 31¢ $5 7d
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek BUY Sara Bejlek 42¢ $5 7d
Libema Open, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs James McCabe BUY James McCabe 44¢ $5 8d
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marc Polmans BUY Marc Polmans 17¢ $5 8d
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistaja BUY Darja Semenistaja 46¢ $5 9d
Birmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Himeno Sakatsume BUY Himeno Sakatsume 27¢ $5 11d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo BUY Alejandro Tabilo 34¢ $5 13d
Birmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Himeno Sakatsume BUY Himeno Sakatsume 28¢ $5 13d
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Hanne Vandewinkel 58¢ $2 13d
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Hanne Vandewinkel 58¢ $1 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -7.1% -16.0% 47% 41% -16.3%
≤30d 31 +17.7% +6.5% 45% 42% -0.2%
≤90d 31 +17.7% +6.5% 45% 42% -0.2%
all 31 +17.7% +6.5% 45% 42% -0.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +6.5% 42% -0.2%
10% -3.7% 42% -9.7%
15% -13.0% 39% -18.4%
20% -21.5% 39% -26.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.70 · official $3.70 (match) · 54 history records