Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:26:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x84a7…4069
crypto · 514 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$234 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$234 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$234
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses469 / 45
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$97
Open positions0
Markets (closed)514 / 514
History coverage19d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day66.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 514 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$25
14 days+$258
30 days+$234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen Zhizhen Zhang 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 78¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Vicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Pol Martin Tiffon Pol Martin Tiffon 76¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong Karen Khachanov 73¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Rajasthan Royals 54¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik Alex de Minaur 81¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien Facundo Acosta 90¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$7 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% +$191
crypto 32% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 310 +1.0% -8.7% 97% 3% -8.5%
≤30d 514 -0.6% -10.1% 91% 9% -8.3%
≤90d 514 -0.6% -10.1% 91% 9% -8.3%
all 514 -0.6% -10.1% 91% 9% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 9% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 4% -17.1%
15% -26.5% 2% -25.1%
20% -33.7% 2% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1704 history records