trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 33% | 0% | -8.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 33% | 0% | -8.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 33% | 0% | -8.0% |
| all | 23 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 30% | 0% | -15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.2% | 0% | -15.5% |
| 10% | -32.4% | 0% | -23.6% |
| 15% | -38.9% | 0% | -31.0% |
| 20% | -44.9% | 0% | -37.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $45 | $45 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 16 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $43 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 11 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jul 24 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jul 24 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 27 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 07 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | Jun 04 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July? | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May? | Jun 02 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? | May 20 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2000 on May 9? | May 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | May 08 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Predators vs. Rangers | Mar 21 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday? | Mar 21 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Devils vs. Golden Knights | Mar 02 | $21 | $0 | -2% |
| SE Louisiana vs. UT Rio Grande Valley | Mar 02 | $21 | $0 | +0% |