trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Jun 13 | $13 | −$2 | -14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$1 | -21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Jun 13 | $32 | −$5 | -16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Jun 13 | $31 | −$9 | -30% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | −$3 | -25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Jun 13 | $16 | +$5 | +30% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | −$6 | -55% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$2 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $16 | −$9 | -58% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 19% | 19% | -22.3% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 19% | 19% | -22.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 19% | 19% | -22.3% |
| all | 16 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 19% | 19% | -22.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -22.3% | 19% | -22.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -29.7% | 19% | -29.7% |
| 15% | -36.5% | 6% | -36.5% |
| 20% | -42.7% | 6% | -42.7% |