Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:55:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x842c…6674
sports · 60 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,908 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,048 · open −$138
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$789
Realized+$3,048
Unrealized−$138
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses41 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$894
Open positions2
Markets (closed)58 / 60
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1,070
Trades / day90.9
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$540
7 days+$3,048
14 days+$3,048
30 days+$3,048
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner UCAM Esports Club 86¢ 86¢ $789 $782 −$7 (-1%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 10¢ 0¢ $138 $7 −$131 (-95%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 10¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 61¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner UCAM Esports Club 30¢ 0¢ $183 $0 −$183 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 8¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner WLGaming Esports 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Partizan Sangal 9¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 8¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $783 +$91 +12%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $675 +$340 +50%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,001 −$224 -11%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,214 +$26 +2%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $447 +$47 +10%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,924 −$243 -13%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,248 +$44 +2%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $769 +$217 +28%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $869 +$167 +19%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,168 +$100 +9%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $403 +$140 +35%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,547 −$549 -36%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $717 +$196 +27%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,105 −$271 -13%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,248 −$324 -14%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $898 +$214 +24%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,430 −$25 -2%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $775 +$99 +13%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $890 +$181 +20%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $426 +$642 +151%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $857 +$145 +17%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,241 −$393 -18%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,341 −$323 -24%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $875 +$234 +27%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $457 −$1 -0%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,684 −$386 -23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $3,416 −$142 -4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,142 +$239 +21%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,346 +$453 +34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,005 −$156 -8%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,246 +$315 +25%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $2,140 +$378 +18%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $279 +$331 +118%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $9 +$1 +8%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,502 −$84 -6%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,060 −$230 -22%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $852 +$65 +8%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $824 +$125 +15%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $652 +$1 +0%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,239 −$269 -22%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $514 +$100 +20%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $812 +$351 +43%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $354 −$11 -3%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $565 +$371 +66%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $441 +$70 +16%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,210 +$69 +6%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,326 +$110 +8%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $321 +$51 +16%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $1,258 +$130 +10%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $347 +$14 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$2,910
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner SELL Solary 100¢ $874 0m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Heretics Academy 100¢ $1,015 0m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 95¢ $482 1m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL LOS 100¢ $1,268 5m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 82¢ $161 6m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 70¢ $149 11m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 95¢ $431 12m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 28¢ $125 18m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 45¢ $57 18m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 83¢ $352 19m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 59¢ $354 19m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 10¢ $136 21m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 9¢ $5 21m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner SELL G2 NORD 100¢ $906 25m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner SELL UCAM Esports Club 100¢ $979 25m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 84¢ $320 35m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 69¢ $510 36m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 66¢ $354 42m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 93¢ $510 42m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 NORD 96¢ $431 43m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 NORD 66¢ $52 44m
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $370 45m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 81¢ $352 46m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 40¢ $35 46m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 43¢ $38 46m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 NORD 66¢ $253 47m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 52¢ $92 48m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 58¢ $260 48m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner SELL G2 NORD 44¢ $91 49m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 51¢ $93 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 +3.7% -6.1% 71% 50% -3.4%
≤30d 58 +3.7% -6.1% 71% 50% -3.4%
≤90d 58 +3.7% -6.1% 71% 50% -3.4%
all 58 +3.7% -6.1% 71% 50% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover90.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 50% -3.4%
10% -15.1% 24% -12.7%
15% ← realistic here -23.3% 10% -21.1%
20% -30.8% 9% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $789.16 · official $789.16 (match) · 465 history records