trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $110 | $0 | −$110 (-100%) |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | Over | 59¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$9 | +92% |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | May 10 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | May 10 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | May 06 | $20 | +$80 | +388% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | May 05 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | May 05 | $123 | −$36 | -29% |
| Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | May 02 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 29 | $113 | −$110 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 29 | $113 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | Apr 29 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 28 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Apr 28 | $394 | −$17 | -4% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $40 | −$36 | -90% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $11 | +$11 | +101% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Apr 15 | $60 | +$233 | +388% |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 20 | Mar 22 | $20 | −$12 | -60% |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Mar 22 | $200 | −$21 | -10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +91.9% | +73.7% | 100% | 100% | +73.7% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +91.9% | +73.7% | 100% | 100% | +73.7% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 26% | 26% | -10.5% |
| all | 19 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 26% | 26% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.9% | 26% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -24.8% | 26% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -32.1% | 26% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -38.7% | 21% | -34.0% |