Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:12:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

84
0x840b…35b0
sports · 15 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$6 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$8
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)8 / 15
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 7 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 14¢ 9¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-36%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$3 +69%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +112%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$9 +431%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% +$7
other 27% $0
crypto 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $7 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 14¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 10¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 15¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 85¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 8¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $12 18h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $11 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 18¢ $2 20h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 21h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $2 21h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $2 21h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 21h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 21h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 21h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 21h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 84¢ $10 21h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY GamerLegion 64¢ $6 5d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL paiN 100¢ $5 5d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 54¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+36.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +50.8% +36.4% 62% 62% +13.8%
≤30d 8 +50.8% +36.4% 62% 62% +13.8%
≤90d 8 +50.8% +36.4% 62% 62% +13.8%
all 8 +50.8% +36.4% 62% 62% +13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +36.4% 62% +13.8%
10% +23.4% 50% +2.9%
15% +11.4% 50% -7.0%
20% +0.5% 50% -16.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.74 · official $14.74 (match) · 26 history records