trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -13.3% | -21.5% | 50% | 50% | -34.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -13.3% | -21.5% | 50% | 50% | -34.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -61.5% | -65.1% | 22% | 22% | -64.1% |
| all | 30 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 37% | 37% | -19.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.1% | 37% | -19.7% |
| 10% | -44.0% | 33% | -27.4% |
| 15% | -49.4% | 30% | -34.4% |
| 20% | -54.4% | 20% | -40.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 12 | $3 | +$2 | +71% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$7 | -66% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $17 | −$17 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $19 | +$8 | +42% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | May 09 | $2 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | May 09 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | Mar 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Mar 24 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | Mar 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Feb 27 | $3 | −$2 | -74% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | Dec 16 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Pavel Durov released in August? | Dec 16 | $1,028 | −$977 | -95% |
| Pump.fun airdrop in 2024? | Dec 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Super Bowl LIX Winner | Dec 16 | $473 | −$473 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | Dec 16 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic | Dec 16 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs PARIVISION (BO1) | Dec 16 | $68 | −$68 | -100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Nov 25 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Nov 25 | $26 | +$67 | +256% |
| Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 3 | Nov 24 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 29? | Oct 29 | $56 | +$26 | +47% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Muller | Oct 29 | $40 | +$16 | +39% |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca | Oct 28 | $51 | +$30 | +59% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) | Oct 28 | $41 | +$9 | +22% |
| Grokipedia released by October 31? | Oct 28 | $49 | +$16 | +33% |
| Solana ETF approved by July 31? | Oct 25 | $14 | +$11 | +82% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | Jan 18 | $800 | −$785 | -98% |
| Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night | Dec 06 | $9,999 | −$2,138 | -21% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $5,009 | +$2,794 | +56% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi? | Oct 08 | $499 | +$499 | +100% |