trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 65¢ | 64¢ | $13 | $13 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Jun 13 | $12 | +$5 | +44% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 13 | $9 | +$7 | +76% |
| Pacers vs. Raptors | Apr 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | Apr 15 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | Apr 15 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Knicks | Apr 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Apr 15 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Clippers | Apr 15 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Pistons | Apr 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Norfolk State Spartans vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | Apr 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knights | Apr 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Apr 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Heat | Apr 15 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Wizards | Apr 15 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Apr 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Apr 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Bucks | Apr 15 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Grizzlies | Apr 15 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles | Apr 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | Apr 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Heat | Apr 15 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Pacers | Apr 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies | Apr 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies | Apr 15 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Apr 15 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Knicks | Apr 15 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Pistons | Mar 27 | $11 | +$6 | +54% |
| Magic vs. Heat | Mar 15 | $14 | +$23 | +163% |
| Magic vs. Timberwolves | Mar 12 | $9 | +$20 | +224% |
| Mavericks vs. Magic | Mar 06 | $10 | +$3 | +28% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Mar 02 | $13 | +$19 | +144% |
| Oilers vs. Sharks | Mar 01 | $8 | +$12 | +144% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Feb 28 | $6 | +$3 | +43% |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | Feb 27 | $7 | +$3 | +43% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bulls | Feb 27 | $10 | +$6 | +59% |
| Kings vs. Rockets | Feb 26 | $12 | +$1 | +12% |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | Feb 26 | $10 | +$7 | +67% |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | Feb 25 | $7 | +$2 | +25% |
| Mavericks vs. Nets | Feb 25 | $12 | +$10 | +82% |
| Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 21 | $9 | +$9 | +96% |
| Hawks vs. 76ers | Feb 20 | $7 | +$7 | +104% |
| Cleveland State Vikings vs. Youngstown State Penguins | Feb 19 | $8 | +$2 | +19% |
| Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs | Feb 17 | $5 | +$11 | +212% |
| Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eagles | Feb 16 | $5 | +$9 | +186% |
| Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA? | Feb 15 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Feb 13 | $11 | +$4 | +39% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Feb 09 | $87 | $0 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Pistons | Feb 08 | $9 | +$10 | +108% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 65¢ | $13 | 1h |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 69¢ | $12 | 25d |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | BUY Knicks | 56¢ | $9 | 44d |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | BUY Hornets | 71¢ | $14 | 76d |
| Pelicans vs. Pistons | BUY Pistons | 65¢ | $11 | 79d |
| Spurs vs. Heat | BUY Heat | 38¢ | $11 | 82d |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | BUY Suns | 41¢ | $10 | 87d |
| Warriors vs. Wizards | BUY Wizards | 27¢ | $12 | 88d |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | BUY Pacers | 26¢ | $11 | 90d |
| Magic vs. Heat | BUY Magic | 38¢ | $14 | 91d |
| Mavericks vs. Grizzlies | BUY Grizzlies | 35¢ | $14 | 92d |
| Magic vs. Timberwolves | BUY Magic | 31¢ | $9 | 98d |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | BUY Nuggets | 48¢ | $6 | 99d |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | BUY Raptors | 36¢ | $7 | 99d |
| Mavericks vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 78¢ | $10 | 100d |
| Thunder vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 39¢ | $11 | 100d |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | BUY Raptors | 43¢ | $11 | 102d |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BUY Timberwolves | 41¢ | $13 | 104d |
| Oilers vs. Sharks | BUY Sharks | 41¢ | $8 | 105d |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY Pistons | 70¢ | $6 | 106d |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | BUY Pelicans | 70¢ | $7 | 106d |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bulls | BUY Trail Blazers | 63¢ | $10 | 107d |
| Heat vs. 76ers | BUY Heat | 45¢ | $7 | 107d |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | BUY Nuggets | 60¢ | $10 | 108d |
| Kings vs. Rockets | BUY Rockets | 89¢ | $12 | 108d |
| Mavericks vs. Nets | BUY Mavericks | 55¢ | $12 | 109d |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY 76ers | 80¢ | $7 | 109d |
| Spurs vs. Pistons | BUY Pistons | 52¢ | $10 | 110d |
| Raptors vs. Bucks | BUY Bucks | 42¢ | $12 | 111d |
| Rockets vs. Knicks | BUY Rockets | 41¢ | $8 | 112d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +43.6% | +29.9% | 100% | 100% | +29.9% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +43.6% | +29.9% | 100% | 100% | +29.9% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -83.7% | -85.2% | 10% | 10% | -83.7% |
| all | 54 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 48% | 48% | -14.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 48% | -14.5% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 44% | -22.7% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 41% | -30.2% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 31% | -37.0% |