Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:39:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x83d8…1f9a
crypto · 1378 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$497 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$502 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$502
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses602 / 779
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1381 / 1378
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day237.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1381 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$151
7 days−$360
14 days−$502
30 days−$502
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 0¢ 82¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -88%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -48%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +59%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$485
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 828 -18.6% -26.4% 53% 52% -17.8%
≤30d 1381 -14.3% -22.4% 44% 39% -16.3%
≤90d 1381 -14.3% -22.4% 44% 39% -16.3%
all 1381 -14.3% -22.4% 44% 39% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover237.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 39% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 36% -24.3%
15% -36.6% 31% -31.6%
20% -42.8% 18% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.12 · official $3.88 · 3500 history records