trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 23 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 48% | 26% | +9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.1% | 26% | +9.0% |
| 10% | -23.2% | 26% | -1.4% |
| 15% | -30.7% | 26% | -10.9% |
| 20% | -37.5% | 26% | -19.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $914 | $914 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 61¢ | 64¢ | $64 | $68 | +$4 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stars vs. Senators | Nov 12 | $22 | +$1 | +6% |
| Kings vs. Canadiens | Nov 12 | $12 | +$12 | +100% |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks | Nov 11 | $10 | +$8 | +82% |
| Celtics vs. Magic | Nov 10 | $15 | +$10 | +70% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Sep 16 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $6 | +$7 | +127% |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 19 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 14 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | May 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes | Jan 13 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Blue Jackets | Jan 10 | $101 | +$101 | +100% |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Jan 09 | $130 | +$97 | +75% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |