Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x83d0…c927
crypto · 1125 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,081 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,081 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,081
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses614 / 511
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1125 / 1125
History coverage34d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day75.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$130
7 days+$120
14 days−$596
30 days−$935
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$20 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$16 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$6 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$20 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$11 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$10 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$7 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$4 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$3 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$16 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$7 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$27 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$14 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$9 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$21 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $19 −$13 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$16 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$14 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$9 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$15 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$18 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$16 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$16 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$18 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$18 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$19 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$20 +96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$1,176
other 1% +$96
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $14 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 +4.2% -5.7% 61% 60% -5.5%
≤30d 997 -3.5% -12.7% 56% 55% -13.4%
≤90d 1125 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 54% -13.7%
all 1125 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 54% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 54% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 50% -22.0%
15% -29.2% 41% -29.5%
20% -36.1% 31% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records