trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 25% | 0% | -8.2% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 25% | 0% | -8.2% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 25% | 0% | -8.2% |
| all | 15 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 53% | 7% | -5.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.8% | 7% | -5.6% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 7% | -14.7% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 7% | -22.9% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 7% | -30.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $73 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $60 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jul 01 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 06 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Jun 05 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will X buy TikTok? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend? | Jun 03 | $18 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will Romania's court annul the presidential election? | Jun 02 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 01 | $12 | +$8 | +71% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series? | May 22 | $12 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 30 | $12 | $0 | +1% |