trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 31 | -25.9% | -33.0% | 29% | 13% | -20.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.0% | 13% | -20.3% |
| 10% | -39.4% | 13% | -27.9% |
| 15% | -45.2% | 13% | -34.9% |
| 20% | -50.6% | 13% | -41.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,010 | $1,009 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 24 | $462 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 24 | $552 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 23 | $1,021 | −$2 | -0% |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Nov 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Nov 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Hornets | Oct 30 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5 | Oct 06 | $38 | +$41 | +108% |
| Yankees vs. Twins | Sep 22 | $24 | +$16 | +64% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Sep 17 | $12 | +$12 | +100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $4 | +$6 | +127% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in June? | Jul 15 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 19 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 19 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend | May 16 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will the Lions win the NFC North? | Jan 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Blues | Jan 05 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Heat | Jan 03 | $123 | −$123 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal lead the EPL in points at midway point? | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. President | Jan 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $19 | $0 | -2% |