Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:08:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x83b3…c2d7
crypto · 123 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses61 / 56
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)117 / 123
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day118.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 6 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$61
14 days−$61
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 60¢ 66¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+11%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 64¢ 68¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+5%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 65¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$23 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$7 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$49
other 8% −$13
sports 6% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 22m
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 65¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -9.0% -17.7% 52% 46% -15.3%
≤30d 117 -9.0% -17.7% 52% 46% -15.3%
≤90d 117 -9.0% -17.7% 52% 46% -15.3%
all 117 -9.0% -17.7% 52% 46% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 46% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 41% -23.4%
15% -32.7% 36% -30.8%
20% -39.3% 29% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.28 · official $60.95 (match) · 282 history records