trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +8.0% | -2.3% | 67% | 33% | -13.6% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +12.9% | +2.1% | 47% | 40% | -14.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +12.9% | +2.1% | 47% | 40% | -14.1% |
| all | 15 | +12.9% | +2.1% | 47% | 40% | -14.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.1% | 40% | -14.1% |
| 10% | -7.6% | 40% | -22.3% |
| 15% | -16.6% | 33% | -29.8% |
| 20% | -24.7% | 33% | -36.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90¢ | 89¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $289 | −$15 | -5% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Cody Gakpo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$1 | +23% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | +$6 | +55% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$12 | +226% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$5 | +246% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $6 | +$6 | +105% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $5 | +$12 | +238% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |