Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:24:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8395…134c
crypto · 440 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$316 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$335 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$335
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses161 / 279
Open positions0
Markets (closed)440 / 440
History coverage4d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day360.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 440 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$95
7 days−$335
14 days−$335
30 days−$335
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$13 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +101%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$9 +104%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +171%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$8 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +133%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +133%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -66%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$8 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -75%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$20 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$82
other 23% −$252
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $14 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $7 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $9 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $0 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $0 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 440 -11.3% -19.8% 37% 37% -17.3%
≤30d 440 -11.3% -19.8% 37% 37% -17.3%
≤90d 440 -11.3% -19.8% 37% 37% -17.3%
all 440 -11.3% -19.8% 37% 37% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover360.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 37% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 37% -25.2%
15% -34.5% 37% -32.4%
20% -40.9% 37% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.33 · official $0.00 (match) · 1379 history records