Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:09:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8393…cb46
sports · 471 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$68 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$79 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized+$79
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses263 / 198
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions10
Markets (closed)461 / 471
History coverage7d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day100.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 10 History 461 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$89
14 days+$79
30 days+$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Los Angeles: Maria Aytoyan vs Monika Ekstrand Monika Ekstrand 75¢ 100¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+33%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 48¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+10%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim Jangjun Kim 56¢ 56¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 79¢ 78¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 79¢ 78¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 19¢ 18¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-5%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Forsaken 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 43¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5) Seattle Mariners 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia Jun 12 $8 +$1 +16%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Gabriella Price Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 +$2 +24%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 +$8 +109%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Maksimovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $4 +$3 +57%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 +$15 +206%
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$14 +197%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $7 +$9 +129%
ITF San Gregorio: Dunja Maric vs Nadia Podoroska Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 +$20 +276%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $7 +$2 +34%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$25 +344%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $7 +$14 +197%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $7 +$2 +29%
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic Jun 12 $7 +$3 +43%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 12 $7 +$3 +43%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $7 +$8 +119%
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Jun 12 $7 +$5 +71%
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$15 +206%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $7 +$8 +109%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$8 +118%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $7 +$2 +26%
Dota 2: summer bear vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$2 +24%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$10 +139%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $7 +$1 +17%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $7 +$2 +26%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 $0 -7%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$7 +93%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $7 +$2 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$73
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia SELL Antonia Rivera 100¢ $9 46m
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Gabriella Price SELL Martina Capurro Taborda 100¢ $8 46m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $9 46m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $15 46m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 56¢ $8 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 19¢ $8 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $8 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $8 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $8 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $8 1h
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia BUY Antonia Rivera 86¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL Ursa 100¢ $7 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $22 2h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Gabriella Price BUY Martina Capurro Taborda 87¢ $7 2h
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma SELL Lea Ma 100¢ $8 3h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 100¢ $21 3h
ITF San Gregorio: Dunja Maric vs Nadia Podoroska SELL Nadia Podoroska 100¢ $8 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $27 3h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $9 4h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner SELL WLGaming Esports 100¢ $32 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $21 4h
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma BUY Lea Ma 92¢ $7 4h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic SELL Ivan Biletic 100¢ $10 5h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $10 5h
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola SELL Aurora Zantedeschi 100¢ $10 5h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 22¢ $7 5h
ITF San Gregorio: Dunja Maric vs Nadia Podoroska BUY Nadia Podoroska 83¢ $7 5h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 69¢ $7 5h
ITF Los Angeles: Maria Aytoyan vs Monika Ekstrand BUY Monika Ekstrand 75¢ $7 5h
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Alberto Barroso Campos 57¢ $7 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 448 +2.0% -7.7% 58% 55% -5.3%
≤30d 461 -0.0% -9.5% 57% 54% -5.8%
≤90d 461 -0.0% -9.5% 57% 54% -5.8%
all 461 -0.0% -9.5% 57% 54% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 54% -5.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 49% -14.8%
15% -26.1% 39% -23.0%
20% -33.3% 31% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.89 · official $58.89 (match) · 813 history records