Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:24:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8393…f7cf
crypto · 303 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$7 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses138 / 164
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)302 / 303
History coverage51d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day7.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$174
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 49¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner SPARTA 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Young Ninjas 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +198%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +240%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +190%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% +$62
crypto 30% −$22
weather 3% −$39
other 2% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 230 +0.3% -9.3% 46% 45% -13.0%
≤30d 245 -4.1% -13.3% 44% 43% -25.1%
≤90d 302 -3.6% -12.8% 46% 45% -9.2%
all 302 -3.6% -12.8% 46% 45% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 45% -9.2%
10% -21.1% 44% -17.9%
15% -28.7% 41% -25.9%
20% -35.7% 39% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.34 · official $1.38 (match) · 518 history records