Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8387…b511
sports · 13 markets active 19h ago
7.5score
+$81 +90%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$81 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses8 / 5
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
Avg bet$7
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$55
14 days+$81
30 days+$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 3¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $14 −$13 -97%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $13 −$4 -28%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$66 +1288%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$5 +93%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $5 +$4 +70%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $8 +$15 +188%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $3 +$4 +117%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $9 +$15 +165%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $5 +$2 +39%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $5 +$5 +95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 3¢ $11 18h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 29¢ $3 20h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 100¢ $71 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 7¢ $5 30h
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 69¢ $7 3d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL TYLOO 100¢ $10 4d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 51¢ $5 4d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 6¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 13¢ $3 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Spirit 100¢ $9 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Spirit 58¢ $5 5d
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 100¢ $23 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 34¢ $8 7d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Lynn Vision 20¢ $5 7d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Lynn Vision 21¢ $1 7d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL TYLOO 100¢ $7 7d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 46¢ $3 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 100¢ $24 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $9 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Sinners 15¢ $3 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Sinners 26¢ $3 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL TYLOO 74¢ $10 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 54¢ $1 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 54¢ $1 8d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL Liquid 20¢ $7 8d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 14¢ $5 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 54¢ $5 8d
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Lynn Vision 99¢ $10 8d
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Lynn Vision 50¢ $5 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+103.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +134.6% +112.2% 44% 44% +65.1%
≤30d 13 +125.2% +103.7% 62% 62% +72.1%
≤90d 13 +125.2% +103.7% 62% 62% +72.1%
all 13 +125.2% +103.7% 62% 62% +72.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +103.7% 62% +72.1%
10% +84.2% 62% +55.6%
15% +66.4% 62% +40.6%
20% +50.1% 54% +26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 33 history records