Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8378…181e
crypto · 47 markets active 12h ago
0.0score
−$7,651 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,651 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,651
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses25 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1,839
Trades / day1052.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,240
7 days−$7,651
14 days−$7,651
30 days−$7,651
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+70%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $318 $0 −$318 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $757 $0 −$757 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $577 $0 −$577 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1,400 $0 −$1,400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $886 $0 −$886 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $224 $0 −$224 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$12 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $775 −$757 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $13,183 −$12,764 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $19,383 −$8,942 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $12,002 +$8,019 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $4,288 −$1,386 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $8,456 +$1,789 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $826 −$555 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $606 −$577 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1,441 −$1,400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $1,011 −$944 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $803 +$648 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $51 −$48 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $332 +$291 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $1,637 +$1,188 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $235 +$46 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $657 +$241 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $758 +$1,139 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $185 +$161 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $101 −$94 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $316 +$368 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $2,691 −$1,464 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $908 +$539 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $955 +$353 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $1,222 +$1,451 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $1,670 −$474 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1,101 +$750 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $239 −$224 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $340 −$318 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $868 +$387 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $423 +$275 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $835 +$295 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $1,818 +$1,270 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $1,288 +$531 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $159 −$150 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $262 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $320 −$300 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $266 −$250 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $547 +$279 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $977 −$141 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $390 +$229 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $1,970 +$3,222 +164%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7,651
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $43 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $32 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $9 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $62 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $15 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $19 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $62 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $23 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $15 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $11 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+101.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +122.5% +101.3% 53% 53% -19.5%
≤30d 47 +122.5% +101.3% 53% 53% -19.5%
≤90d 47 +122.5% +101.3% 53% 53% -19.5%
all 47 +122.5% +101.3% 53% 53% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1052.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +101.3% 53% -19.5%
10% +82.1% 49% -27.2%
15% ← realistic here +64.5% 47% -34.2%
20% +48.3% 38% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.42 · official $0.00 (match) · 1890 history records