Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:23:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x834a…960a
crypto · 384 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses340 / 43
Open positions1
Markets (closed)383 / 384
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day112.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 383 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 97¢ 92¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 383 -0.3% -9.8% 89% 10% -9.9%
≤30d 383 -0.3% -9.8% 89% 10% -9.9%
≤90d 383 -0.3% -9.8% 89% 10% -9.9%
all 383 -0.3% -9.8% 89% 10% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover112.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 10% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 3% -18.5%
15% -26.3% 1% -26.4%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.71 · official $3.68 · 769 history records