Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:05:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8337…2827
weather · 771 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,027 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,027 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$200
Realized−$1,027
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses650 / 117
Open positions4
Markets (closed)767 / 771
History coverage90d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day14.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 767 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49
7 days−$36
14 days−$63
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12? No 100¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 12? Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on June 10? Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on June 9? Jun 10 $21 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on Ju Jun 09 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 8? Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 8? Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on June 7? Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 5? Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5? Jun 08 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 7? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 7? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 7? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 6? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 6? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 6? Jun 06 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 6? Jun 06 $41 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 6? Jun 06 $43 +$8 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 5? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 5? Jun 05 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$1,022
finance 0% −$4
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $50 41m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $50 42m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $50 5h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $50 13h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $50 17h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $50 25h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $50 31h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $50 40h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $20 42h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $50 47h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $50 2d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $50 2d
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $50 2d
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $50 2d
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $50 2d
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $50 2d
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $50 3d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $50 3d
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $50 3d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 10? BUY No 98¢ $49 3d
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $50 3d
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $1 3d
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $20 4d
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $50 4d
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $50 4d
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $50 4d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $50 5d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $50 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -1.5% -10.9% 98% 2% -11.0%
≤30d 299 -0.7% -10.2% 97% 1% -10.2%
≤90d 767 -4.8% -13.9% 85% 3% -13.2%
all 767 -4.8% -13.9% 85% 3% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 3% -13.2%
10% -22.1% 2% -21.5%
15% -29.7% 2% -29.1%
20% -36.6% 1% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $199.95 · official $199.95 (match) · 1975 history records