Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:53:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8332…0235
sports · 375 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$46 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$23
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses260 / 113
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)373 / 375
History coverage92d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 1 History 373 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$26
14 days−$25
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 60¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) Tatsuro Taira 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova Coco Gauff 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 GamerLegion 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Team Liquid 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BetBoom Team 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $35 −$18 -52%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +83%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $8 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $7 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 −$1 -43%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $7 +$1 +16%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 10 $1 −$1 -84%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $3 +$1 +35%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 $0 +16%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$1 +27%
Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $3 $0 +7%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 +$1 +50%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$1 +11%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $1 $0 -43%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $1 +$1 +65%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -68%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $1 $0 -1%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $13 −$10 -76%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $9 +$2 +17%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$1 +36%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 $0 +12%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $11 −$10 -90%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2 +$1 +46%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 −$2 -98%
Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2 +$2 +105%
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $3 +$1 +27%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3 +$1 +40%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $1 −$1 -62%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $3 +$3 +86%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $2 $0 -23%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $2 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $2 +$3 +226%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$18
other 28% +$26
politics 3% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 32¢ $10 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 60¢ $14 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 75¢ $25 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $7 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 20¢ $7 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 30¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 56¢ $1 17h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 50¢ $1 17h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 82¢ $3 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $5 24h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL B8 32¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 67¢ $2 24h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 3¢ $1 26h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 81¢ $2 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 34h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 61¢ $1 44h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 72¢ $1 44h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 84¢ $2 46h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 74¢ $2 46h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $10 47h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 90¢ $9 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 56¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 75¢ $4 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 96¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 91¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $7 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 95¢ $7 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -5.4% -14.4% 62% 50% -25.5%
≤30d 147 +4.8% -5.2% 67% 56% -12.1%
≤90d 372 +2.3% -7.4% 70% 58% -8.3%
all 373 +2.5% -7.3% 70% 58% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 58% -8.2%
10% -16.2% 38% -17.0%
15% -24.3% 25% -25.0%
20% -31.7% 16% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 817 history records