Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:37:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8328…e5eb
sports · 941 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,027 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,034 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10,246
Realized−$1,034
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses525 / 485
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$201
Open positions81
Markets (closed)1010 / 941
History coverage14d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day206.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 81 History 1010 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,512
7 days−$1,413
14 days−$1,034
30 days−$1,034
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $1,176 $1,174 −$2 (-0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $1,020 $1,024 +$4 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? No 93¢ 93¢ $600 $599 −$2 (-0%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $564 $564 −$0 (-0%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? No 34¢ 34¢ $469 $470 +$1 (+0%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? No 96¢ 96¢ $455 $454 −$1 (-0%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $451 $453 +$2 (+0%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? No 83¢ 82¢ $298 $296 −$2 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $256 $258 +$3 (+1%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? No 90¢ 90¢ $254 $252 −$2 (-1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? No 46¢ 52¢ $202 $225 +$23 (+12%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? No 80¢ 84¢ $204 $214 +$10 (+5%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $208 $210 +$2 (+1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? No 80¢ 76¢ $211 $201 −$10 (-5%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 82¢ 81¢ $172 $172 −$1 (-1%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $169 $169 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? No 86¢ 86¢ $169 $168 −$2 (-1%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 90¢ 90¢ $153 $153 +$1 (+0%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? No 96¢ 97¢ $125 $126 +$1 (+1%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? No 87¢ 86¢ $124 $123 −$1 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Yes 60¢ 62¢ $112 $115 +$3 (+2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $108 $108 −$1 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? No 83¢ 81¢ $109 $107 −$2 (-2%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $104 $105 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? No 91¢ 90¢ $99 $97 −$2 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-05-30? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kessler Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Chisinau: Pavel Kotov vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Milovanovic vs Valeriya Strakhova Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 159.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
CA Mineiro vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parry Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: PortlandFire (-6.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
CD Mirandés vs. Granada CF: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-30? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% −$645
sports 31% +$653
world 1% +$171
crypto 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $30 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 97¢ $44 1h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 96¢ $45 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 79¢ $27 7h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 83¢ $32 7h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $31 16h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Varvara Panshina 21¢ $36 23h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $49 23h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 60¢ $34 23h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 95¢ $46 23h
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) BUY South Africa 68¢ $39 23h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $29 24h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 81¢ $36 24h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 97¢ $35 24h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $30 26h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 71¢ $39 28h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 70¢ $30 28h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $28 30h
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? BUY No 88¢ $58 30h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 45¢ $29 30h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 93¢ $30 30h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 75¢ $30 30h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 75¢ $28 30h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt BUY Nick Hardt 28¢ $37 31h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 75¢ $50 31h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt BUY Nick Hardt 28¢ $55 31h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 BUY Over 52¢ $30 31h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 82¢ $47 31h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Chicago Sky 22¢ $35 31h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 21¢ $30 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 530 -27.5% -34.4% 42% 30% -13.0%
≤30d 1010 -12.4% -20.7% 52% 38% -11.6%
≤90d 1010 -12.4% -20.7% 52% 38% -11.6%
all 1010 -12.4% -20.7% 52% 38% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover206.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 38% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 29% -20.0%
15% -35.2% 22% -27.8%
20% -41.6% 17% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,245.54 · official $10,245.76 (match) · 3500 history records