Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8314…3d26
crypto · 336 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$160 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$160 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses30 / 306
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)336 / 336
Avg bet$8
Trades / day21.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 0 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$24
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 12 $35 $0 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $14 −$1 -8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 12 $8 $0 -1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $30 −$1 -3%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Jun 12 $7 $0 -6%
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? Jun 12 $14 $0 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $7 −$1 -19%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $9 $0 -4%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -15%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Jun 12 $10 −$6 -58%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? Jun 05 $9 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $25 −$1 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $28 $0 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $4 $0 -1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $17 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $23 −$1 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $16 −$1 -9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $11 −$1 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $21 −$2 -8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $18 −$1 -6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 05 $4 $0 -4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 05 $3 −$1 -23%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $3 −$1 -54%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June? Jun 05 $4 $0 -6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $3 $0 -15%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $4 +$1 +26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $4 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $7 $0 -6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? Jun 05 $8 $0 -0%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $3 $0 -3%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $7 $0 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +8%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $5 +$1 +28%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $5 −$2 -43%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June? Jun 04 $8 $0 -3%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $7 +$3 +48%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $3 −$2 -54%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $18 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $3 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $9 $0 -3%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Jun 04 $2 $0 -13%
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO d Jun 04 $2 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% −$101
other 21% −$30
finance 7% −$6
tech 7% −$19
world 5% −$3
economics 2% −$1
sports 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 53¢ $3 8m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 53¢ $3 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 95¢ $5 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 77¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 18¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 96¢ $5 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 78¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 46¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 95¢ $5 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 19¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 47¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 78¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 18¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 96¢ $5 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 78¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 45¢ $4 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? SELL No 56¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 19¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 45¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 45¢ $4 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 18¢ $2 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 44¢ $2 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 18¢ $4 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 56¢ $3 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 19¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -7.5% -16.3% 8% 3% -15.0%
≤30d 54 -7.3% -16.1% 15% 6% -14.5%
≤90d 336 -9.6% -18.2% 9% 5% -15.2%
all 336 -9.6% -18.2% 9% 5% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 5% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 3% -23.3%
15% -33.2% 1% -30.7%
20% -39.7% 1% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1897 history records