Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:27:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x830d…c2d4
sports · 238 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$58
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses110 / 125
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions3
Markets (closed)235 / 238
History coverage36d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day13.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 235 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49
7 days+$72
14 days−$8
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 55¢ 100¢ $9 $17 +$7 (+82%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Rinky Hijikata 33¢ 46¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+41%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Alexis Galarneau Yu-Hsiou Hsu 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Sunrisers Hyderabad 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season ZeroZone Gaming 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Club 333 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs WeClear (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Playoffs WeClear 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro Shuai Zhang 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Max Schoenhaus Marcos Giron 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Hubert Hurkacz 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Tallon Griekspoor 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Martinez vs. Agut: Match O/U 21.5 Over 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Camilo Ugo Carabelli 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 66¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $15 −$5 -35%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $16 +$22 +136%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $13 +$11 +83%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $22 −$6 -25%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $8 $0 -3%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $13 −$5 -36%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Martinez vs. Agut: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $4 +$6 +129%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 13 $6 +$2 +40%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $14 −$6 -42%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $22 +$4 +18%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $27 +$19 +71%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $13 −$7 -50%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $19 +$1 +8%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $8 +$12 +146%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $13 +$4 +31%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $28 −$11 -40%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $25 +$8 +31%
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $15 +$3 +23%
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $11 +$3 +24%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $8 +$7 +79%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $7 +$2 +31%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $21 −$12 -58%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $14 +$3 +20%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $18 +$35 +189%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $13 −$4 -33%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $11 +$7 +63%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $22 −$4 -20%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $15 +$2 +11%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $5 +$3 +67%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $14 −$6 -46%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $22 +$5 +23%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $7 +$1 +21%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $24 +$10 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 46¢ $4 17m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 15¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 22¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 17¢ $1 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 35¢ $3 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 44¢ $4 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 44¢ $4 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 44¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 79¢ $8 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 23¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 23¢ $2 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 55¢ $5 2h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 77¢ $7 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 55¢ $5 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $6 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 9¢ $1 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 85¢ $6 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 54¢ $4 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 54¢ $4 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 54¢ $4 2h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Darja Vidmanova 43¢ $4 2h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Darja Vidmanova 43¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 10¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 9¢ $1 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tiago Pereira 23¢ $2 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tom Gentzsch 79¢ $6 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Hannah Klugman 66¢ $6 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Anastasia Zakharova 39¢ $3 3h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 11¢ $1 3h
Martinez vs. Agut: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 41¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -2.4% -11.7% 51% 45% -2.6%
≤30d 229 -9.0% -17.7% 47% 41% -11.8%
≤90d 235 -9.1% -17.8% 47% 41% -12.0%
all 235 -9.1% -17.8% 47% 41% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.8% 41% -12.0%
10% -25.7% 35% -20.4%
15% -32.8% 27% -28.1%
20% -39.4% 19% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.25 · official $25.25 (match) · 663 history records