Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8309…d162
crypto · 293 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$736 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$736 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$736
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses109 / 184
Open positions0
Markets (closed)293 / 293
History coverage56d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 293 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$172
7 days−$172
14 days−$172
30 days−$172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$14 -78%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$60 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$21 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$26 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$37 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $169 −$37 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$9 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$39 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $72 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$29 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $98 +$42 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$23 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $109 +$20 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$13 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$42 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$40 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$18 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$8 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$6 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Apr 24 $10 −$9 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Apr 24 $31 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Apr 24 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Apr 24 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Apr 24 $25 −$23 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Apr 24 $17 +$94 +554%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Apr 24 $47 −$38 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Apr 24 $60 −$57 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Apr 24 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Apr 24 $90 −$18 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Apr 24 $80 −$54 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Apr 24 $107 +$76 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Apr 24 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Apr 24 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Apr 24 $169 −$14 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Apr 24 $103 −$12 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Apr 24 $107 −$8 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Apr 24 $45 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Apr 24 $63 −$28 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Apr 24 $34 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Apr 24 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Apr 24 $86 −$13 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Apr 24 $94 +$19 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$736
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $3 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $15 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $63 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $31 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $51 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $33 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $52 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $13 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $12 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $70 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $83 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $62 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $78 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $12 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $37 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $53 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -42.3% -47.8% 30% 26% -17.9%
≤30d 27 -42.3% -47.8% 30% 26% -17.9%
≤90d 293 -14.7% -22.8% 37% 35% -13.0%
all 293 -14.7% -22.8% 37% 35% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.8% 35% -13.0%
10% -30.2% 31% -21.4%
15% -36.9% 28% -29.0%
20% -43.1% 20% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 983 history records