Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82dc…5700
sports · 132 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$41,299 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42,897 · open −$1,266
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53,534
Realized+$42,897
Unrealized−$1,266
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses81 / 43
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$9,875
Open positions8
Markets (closed)124 / 132
History coverage6d
Avg bet$5,891
Trades / day570.0
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19,237
7 days+$42,897
14 days+$42,897
30 days+$42,897
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 62¢ 100¢ $11,378 $18,379 +$7,001 (+62%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 51¢ 100¢ $3,386 $6,574 +$3,189 (+94%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 32¢ 52¢ $3,271 $5,448 +$2,177 (+67%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Paper Rex 58¢ 48¢ $6,350 $5,170 −$1,179 (-19%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 29¢ 31¢ $4,037 $4,274 +$237 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 74¢ 100¢ $2,900 $3,934 +$1,034 (+36%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 58¢ 69¢ $3,163 $3,731 +$568 (+18%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 80¢ 78¢ $3,084 $2,987 −$97 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 74¢ 100¢ $1,159 $1,563 +$403 (+35%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Paper Rex 55¢ 100¢ $812 $1,467 +$655 (+81%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 40¢ 0¢ $5,847 $7 −$5,840 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 59¢ 0¢ $6,315 $0 −$6,315 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 3¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 27¢ 0¢ $435 $0 −$435 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 44¢ 0¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 29¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner G2 Esports 48¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 30¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner FlyQuest 13¢ 0¢ $538 $0 −$538 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 59¢ 0¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 18¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Karmine Corp 44¢ 0¢ $443 $0 −$443 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 25¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 40¢ 0¢ $2,168 $0 −$2,168 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 29¢ 0¢ $763 $0 −$763 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10,019 +$3,391 +34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $25,610 −$1,502 -6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $7,186 +$2,458 +34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12,600 +$2,981 +24%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,290 −$2,160 -94%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10,037 +$1,733 +17%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,873 +$509 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $918 +$421 +46%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,882 +$1,562 +32%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4,533 +$1,543 +34%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,999 +$3,123 +39%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,565 +$806 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,529 +$694 +28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,941 −$555 -14%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,148 +$566 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $27,101 −$5,475 -20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $752 −$470 -63%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $444 +$199 +45%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10,534 +$541 +5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,261 +$806 +36%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $350 −$350 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $460 −$450 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5,459 +$1,167 +21%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,616 +$1,650 +63%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5,479 −$4,179 -76%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,214 +$3,063 +73%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $823 −$810 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,679 −$324 -12%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $16 −$16 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $878 +$784 +89%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8,292 +$565 +7%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $12,049 +$1,085 +9%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $95 −$93 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,098 +$2,405 +115%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,907 +$1,381 +35%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,576 +$327 +9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,942 −$391 -20%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $7,034 +$36 +0%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4,887 +$1,933 +40%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $2,214 −$352 -16%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $6,176 +$1,185 +19%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4,381 +$442 +10%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $6,606 −$993 -15%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $1,558 +$583 +37%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20,047 −$5,914 -30%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2,139 +$1,457 +68%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $200 +$38 +19%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $909 +$85 +9%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5,040 +$4,389 +87%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $1,831 +$609 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$41,630
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 87¢ $810 0m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 87¢ $62 0m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 88¢ $22 1m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 70¢ $669 1m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 70¢ $32 1m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 21¢ $215 1m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 25¢ $4 2m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 81¢ $813 2m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 25¢ $1 2m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 50¢ $509 2m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 45¢ $910 2m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 47¢ $751 2m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 58¢ $4 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $2 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $1,520 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $672 5m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 35¢ $292 5m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 32¢ $327 5m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 89¢ $12 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $1 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $11 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $147 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $101 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $65 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $10 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $4 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $18 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $32 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $1 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $0 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 +32.0% +19.4% 65% 52% -3.8%
≤30d 124 +32.0% +19.4% 65% 52% -3.8%
≤90d 124 +32.0% +19.4% 65% 52% -3.8%
all 124 +32.0% +19.4% 65% 52% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover570.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.4% 52% -3.8%
10% +8.0% 36% -13.0%
15% ← realistic here -2.5% 27% -21.4%
20% -12.0% 16% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53,534.27 · official $53,534.81 (match) · 3500 history records