Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:19:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82d8…0f23
crypto · 477 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$212 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$212 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$212
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses154 / 323
Open positions0
Markets (closed)477 / 477
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 477 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$16 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$6 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$13 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$5 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$6 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$212
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-32.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -2.9% -12.2% 34% 34% -4.9%
≤30d 79 -2.9% -12.2% 34% 34% -4.9%
≤90d 474 -25.0% -32.2% 32% 27% -18.7%
all 477 -25.0% -32.1% 32% 27% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.1% 27% -18.9%
10% -38.6% 24% -26.7%
15% -44.5% 22% -33.8%
20% -50.0% 19% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1484 history records