Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:50:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82d2…beea
sports · 355 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$34,983 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32,827 · open +$1,585
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,490
Realized+$32,827
Unrealized+$1,585
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses200 / 150
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$7,051
Open positions5
Markets (closed)350 / 355
History coverage21d
Avg bet$1,339
Trades / day153.8
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 350 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,593
7 days+$17,463
14 days+$28,013
30 days+$32,827
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Wanted Goons 58¢ 74¢ $4,039 $5,119 +$1,081 (+27%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner F5 Esports 51¢ 64¢ $1,968 $2,498 +$529 (+27%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 28¢ 30¢ $521 $549 +$28 (+5%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 33¢ 36¢ $301 $324 +$23 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner F5 Esports 20¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner GG Boom 46¢ 0¢ $617 $0 −$617 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope Jun 13 $699 +$299 +43%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $621 −$617 -99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $447 −$447 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goals Jun 12 $400 −$400 -100%
Ermedin Demirović: 2+ goals Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $631 +$442 +70%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $694 −$694 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $553 −$553 -100%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $1,187 +$195 +16%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,734 +$1,918 +111%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $265 +$169 +64%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Jun 12 $145 +$35 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,210 −$1,210 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $502 −$502 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,780 +$449 +25%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $653 −$653 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,320 +$1,078 +82%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $4,130 +$499 +12%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $248 +$12 +5%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $64 +$2 +3%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $829 +$1,142 +138%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,809 −$1,809 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $2,101 +$88 +4%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $804 +$719 +89%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $515 +$474 +92%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,804 +$1,437 +80%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,268 −$1,258 -56%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $752 +$512 +68%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $536 +$361 +67%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $760 −$760 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,837 −$1,837 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1,276 +$1,308 +102%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,227 −$1,227 -100%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $690 +$808 +117%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $106 −$106 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $964 −$964 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $458 +$542 +118%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1,250 −$1,250 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,005 +$1,571 +78%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,030 +$958 +93%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $880 −$391 -44%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,350 +$1,647 +122%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $604 +$532 +88%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $1,220 +$1,183 +97%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1,493 +$1,241 +83%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $858 −$858 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $542 −$542 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $270 −$270 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $504 +$713 +141%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$36,516
crypto 1% −$588
other 1% −$1,516
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope SELL GG Boom 100¢ $998 0m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 56¢ $461 49m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 53¢ $2 51m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 53¢ $80 51m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 53¢ $72 51m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 51¢ $89 51m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 50¢ $422 53m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $58 53m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner SELL F5 Esports 44¢ $52 57m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $414 58m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 47¢ $31 59m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $405 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 43¢ $22 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 71¢ $671 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 71¢ $534 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 70¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 70¢ $44 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 70¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 68¢ $296 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 70¢ $117 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 68¢ $350 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 53¢ $337 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 54¢ $268 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 53¢ $267 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 51¢ $57 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 51¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 51¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 51¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 51¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 51¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 +2.7% -7.1% 58% 53% +0.8%
≤30d 350 +6.4% -3.8% 57% 54% -3.1%
≤90d 350 +6.4% -3.8% 57% 54% -3.1%
all 350 +6.4% -3.8% 57% 54% -3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.8% 54% -3.1%
10% -13.0% 51% -12.4%
15% ← realistic here -21.4% 47% -20.8%
20% -29.1% 43% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,490.11 · official $7,417.79 · 3500 history records