Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:15:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82c7…6afd
crypto · 198 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses64 / 134
Open positions0
Markets (closed)198 / 198
History coverage6d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day82.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-30.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 -23.2% -30.5% 32% 23% -13.3%
≤30d 198 -23.2% -30.5% 32% 23% -13.3%
≤90d 198 -23.2% -30.5% 32% 23% -13.3%
all 198 -23.2% -30.5% 32% 23% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.5% 23% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -37.2% 20% -21.6%
15% -43.3% 18% -29.2%
20% -48.8% 14% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 611 history records