Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:09:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82c5…6de5
crypto · 567 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$307 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$307 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$307
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses516 / 48
Open positions3
Markets (closed)564 / 567
History coverage5d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day142.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 3 History 564 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$307
14 days−$307
30 days−$307
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 92¢ 90¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 90¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 81¢ 57¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-29%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$8 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$9 -45%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$9 -59%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$2 -14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -77%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +11%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$307
other 23% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 4m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 4m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 11m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $2 16m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $4 18m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 22m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 22m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 22m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 26m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 564 -2.0% -11.3% 91% 9% -11.1%
≤30d 564 -2.0% -11.3% 91% 9% -11.1%
≤90d 564 -2.0% -11.3% 91% 9% -11.1%
all 564 -2.0% -11.3% 91% 9% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover142.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 9% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 1% -19.6%
15% -27.6% 0% -27.4%
20% -34.7% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.45 · official $6.45 (match) · 1213 history records