trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 100% | 0% | -4.0% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 90% | 0% | -6.8% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 90% | 0% | -6.8% |
| all | 10 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 90% | 0% | -6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 0% | -6.8% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 0% | -15.7% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 0% | -23.9% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -31.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 95¢ | 98¢ | $293 | $301 | +$8 (+3%) |
| Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | $131 | $135 | +$4 (+3%) |
| Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | Yes | 88¢ | 90¢ | $97 | $99 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | Yes | 89¢ | 92¢ | $60 | $62 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $40 | $42 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in June? | No | 94¢ | 93¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will "Choosin’ Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | No | 58¢ | 95¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+64%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 # | Jun 16 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of Ju | Jun 16 | $51 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more? | Jun 16 | $97 | +$7 | +7% |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in the US in June? | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on | Jun 13 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on | Jun 13 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 11 | $6 | −$2 | -30% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | Jun 10 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of Ju | Jun 09 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in June? | Jun 07 | $50 | $0 | +1% |