Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82b0…7c38
sports · 330 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$532 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open −$315
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$547
Realized+$11
Unrealized−$315
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses149 / 175
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$626
Open positions5
Markets (closed)324 / 330
History coverage20d
Avg bet$125
Trades / day26.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 324 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$566
7 days−$2,479
14 days−$607
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 44¢ 44¢ $481 $480 −$1 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage illwill 75¢ 41¢ $120 $66 −$54 (-45%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 54¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 36¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) ThunderTalk Gaming 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 56¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Mao Mushika vs Kanon Sawashiro Kanon Sawashiro 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Shimabukuro vs. Kyrgios: Match O/U 23.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 31¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
David Jorda Sanchis vs. Tristan Boyer: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 37¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Busta Jodar 19¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5) Sierra 53¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Zverev Jong 44¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 41¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5) Auger-Aliassime 54¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Teichmann (+1.5) Teichmann 30¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Hikaru Sato vs. Kayo Nishimura: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Hubert Hurkacz 19¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
ITF Focsani: Nicole Gadient vs Sara Victoria Balan Nicole Gadient 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Prostejov: Tristan Boyer vs Filip Jianu Filip Jianu 31¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 60¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 Winner Ozarox Esports 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $509 +$849 +167%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $253 +$132 +52%
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $264 +$72 +27%
Indios de Mayaguez vs. Leones de Ponce Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $435 +$204 +47%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $164 +$42 +26%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $124 −$123 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $0 $0 -98%
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda Jun 13 $246 −$1 -0%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $12 −$12 -99%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $252 −$246 -98%
Harry Wendelken vs. Adam Walton: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $0 +$2 +414%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $162 −$158 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $218 −$215 -98%
Kovacevic vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $6 +$1 +24%
Set Handicap: Boyer (-1.5) vs Sanchis (+1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
David Jorda Sanchis vs. Tristan Boyer: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $255 −$250 -98%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $509 +$740 +145%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $252 +$73 +29%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $0 $0 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $252 −$250 -99%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim Jun 13 $253 +$132 +52%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura Jun 13 $20 −$19 -98%
Hikaru Sato vs. Kayo Nishimura: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 12 $46 −$45 -98%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $253 −$145 -57%
Set Handicap: Jones (-1.5) vs Romano (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $252 +$81 +32%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $252 −$250 -99%
Set 1 Winner: Dart vs Rakhimova Jun 12 $107 +$43 +40%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $54 −$52 -98%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $203 +$189 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $465 −$62 -13%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $201 +$65 +32%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $56 +$11 +20%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $201 +$43 +21%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $36 −$36 -99%
Capitanes de Arecibo vs. Aguada Santeros Jun 12 $24 +$8 +33%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $14 −$4 -29%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $44 −$43 -98%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $208 −$200 -96%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $202 +$96 +48%
Game Handicap: PS (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $124 −$122 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$304
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 52¢ $232 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 38¢ $255 9m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 75¢ $60 9m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 75¢ $60 9m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 44¢ $2 13m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $1,359 17m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 34¢ $255 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 40¢ $254 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $384 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 36¢ $255 1h
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp BUY Sandro Kopp 23¢ $4 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 31¢ $10 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 65¢ $253 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $336 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $13 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $252 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 54¢ $1 6h
Indios de Mayaguez vs. Leones de Ponce BUY Leones de Ponce 52¢ $5 10h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 68¢ $21 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 68¢ $162 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 67¢ $252 13h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY La Laguna Tenerife 48¢ $71 15h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY La Laguna Tenerife 47¢ $53 15h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 57¢ $3 16h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 38¢ $0 16h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 79¢ $164 16h
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda SELL BC Neptunas Klaipeda 100¢ $372 18h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 56¢ $12 18h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 19¢ $4 19h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 23¢ $192 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 -19.6% -27.3% 41% 40% -21.3%
≤30d 324 -5.6% -14.6% 46% 46% -9.5%
≤90d 324 -5.6% -14.6% 46% 46% -9.5%
all 324 -5.6% -14.6% 46% 46% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 46% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 45% -18.2%
15% -30.2% 40% -26.1%
20% -37.1% 32% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $546.60 · official $546.60 (match) · 605 history records