Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:23:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82a9…c9a1
crypto · 35 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
+$97,007 +57%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,238 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$10,238
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses18 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$100
Open positions0
Markets (closed)35 / 35
History coverage45d
Avg bet$4,825
Trades / day76.7
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,501
7 days+$7,501
14 days+$7,505
30 days+$7,505
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $730 $0 −$730 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 11¢ 0¢ $748 $0 −$748 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $15,219 +$5,380 +35%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10,375 +$3,599 +35%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $768 −$748 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $747 −$730 -98%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Jun 07 $44,203 +$5 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET May 07 $1,600 −$1,600 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? May 06 $60,554 +$1,196 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4? May 04 $16,887 +$3,113 +18%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1? May 01 $1,434 +$593 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 01 $52 −$32 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 01 $415 −$58 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Apr 29 $243 −$54 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Apr 29 $215 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Apr 29 $349 −$109 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Apr 29 $208 +$41 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Apr 29 $407 −$110 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Apr 29 $319 +$55 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Apr 29 $359 +$30 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Apr 29 $108 −$38 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Apr 29 $188 −$29 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Apr 29 $373 +$33 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Apr 29 $424 +$27 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Apr 29 $206 +$246 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Apr 29 $566 −$110 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Apr 29 $378 +$128 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Apr 29 $560 −$48 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Apr 29 $525 +$23 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Apr 29 $527 +$39 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Apr 29 $622 −$22 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Apr 29 $1,333 −$576 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Apr 29 $1,002 −$72 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Apr 29 $1,402 −$75 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Apr 29 $1,270 +$58 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Apr 29 $1,764 −$219 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Apr 29 $3,281 +$287 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 36% +$1,196
other 26% +$5
crypto 22% +$1,536
tech 9% +$4,650
sports 7% +$2,851
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $8 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $7,049 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $3 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $4 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $10 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $203 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $13 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $20 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $13 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $67 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $20 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $167 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $210 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $13 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $4 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $20 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $7 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $28 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $6 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $2 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $6 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $20 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $35 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $8 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $1,005 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $812 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $203 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $4 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $32 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $97 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -32.5% -38.9% 50% 50% +15.5%
≤30d 5 -26.0% -33.0% 60% 40% +0.0%
≤90d 35 -6.5% -15.4% 51% 23% -4.0%
all 35 -6.5% -15.4% 51% 23% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 23% -4.0%
10% -23.5% 14% -13.2%
15% ← realistic here -30.9% 9% -21.6%
20% -37.7% 3% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records