trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -10.5% | -19.0% | 44% | 44% | -17.2% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -11.0% | -19.4% | 46% | 46% | -19.1% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -11.0% | -19.4% | 46% | 46% | -19.1% |
| all | 24 | -11.0% | -19.4% | 46% | 46% | -19.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.4% | 46% | -19.1% |
| 10% | -27.2% | 42% | -26.9% |
| 15% | -34.2% | 42% | -33.9% |
| 20% | -40.6% | 33% | -40.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+11%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +89% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +123% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +110% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -72% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -82% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +109% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +163% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-31? | Jun 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 31 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 31 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +69% |
| LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Pl | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +79% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World C | May 25 | $18 | −$1 | -3% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In | May 24 | $3 | +$1 | +18% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | May 24 | $4 | +$2 | +42% |