Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:41:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
82 0x8288…d948 crypto 1467 markets active 5d ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (73 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$8,035 (-27%) realized −$8,035 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate52%786W / 719L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day73.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 29d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,181
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (73 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 516 -60.7% -64.4% 12% 10% -69.6%
≤30d 1086 -5.3% -14.3% 48% 24% -20.8%
≤90d 1505 -5.5% -14.5% 52% 22% -17.4%
all 1505 -5.5% -14.5% 52% 22% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 22% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 17% -25.3%
15% -30.1% 12% -32.5%
20% -37.0% 11% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
57% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +21% → late -32% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$10 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,035
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses786 / 719
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1505 / 1467
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$20
Trades / day73.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1505 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$6 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$10 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $57 −$57 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $9 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $8 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $8 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $8 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $8 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $13 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $13 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $8 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $9 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $9 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $8 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $9 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $8 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $8 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $8 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $9 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records