trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 25% | 0% | -10.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -15.3% | -23.4% | 43% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -15.3% | -23.4% | 43% | 0% | -10.7% |
| all | 27 | -14.5% | -22.6% | 37% | 0% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.6% | 0% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -30.0% | 0% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -36.8% | 0% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -43.0% | 0% | -35.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $29 | −$3 | -9% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 11 | $32 | −$1 | -2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 09 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 09 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 14 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Apr 13 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 275-299 times April 4 - 11? | Apr 13 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%? | Apr 08 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Apr 07 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | Mar 23 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 14 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $87000 and $89000 on Mar 14? | Mar 13 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 12 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 11 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Wofford vs. Western Carolina | Mar 04 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| VCU vs. Richmond | Mar 04 | $11 | +$1 | +10% |
| Bucknell vs. Loyola Maryland | Feb 25 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| The Citadel vs. Furman | Feb 25 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Austin Peay vs. West Georgia | Feb 25 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Pacers | Feb 25 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German ele | Feb 25 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 25 | $11 | $0 | -3% |