Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:37:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x8267…049e
crypto · 18 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses9 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day14.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -72%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA Wor Jun 12 $13 −$2 -16%
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $14 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $12 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 10 $11 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$2
weather 18% +$4
other 13% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 94¢ $24 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 77¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA Wor SELL No 67¢ $11 9h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA Wor BUY No 77¢ $13 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 33% -9.3%
≤30d 18 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 33% -9.3%
≤90d 18 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 33% -9.3%
all 18 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 33% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 33% -9.3%
10% -16.2% 22% -18.0%
15% -24.3% 22% -25.9%
20% -31.7% 22% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 63 history records