trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 60% | 20% | -8.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 50% | 10% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 50% | 10% | -8.9% |
| all | 23 | +3.3% | -6.6% | 65% | 9% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.6% | 9% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -15.5% | 4% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -23.7% | 4% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -31.2% | 4% | -32.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 25 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 25 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 24 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 22 | $13 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $108 | +$1 | +1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $34 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 03 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Meta buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Apr 19 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | Apr 16 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Apr 15 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 13 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | Mar 19 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| March Madness: 8 first round upsets? | Mar 19 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 29-30°F on February 20? | Mar 05 | $4 | +$5 | +150% |
| Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State | Mar 05 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |