trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -35.1% | -41.3% | 50% | 50% | -20.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -14.6% | -22.7% | 60% | 60% | -5.9% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 39% | 39% | +286.2% |
| all | 28 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 39% | 39% | +286.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.2% | 39% | +286.2% |
| 10% | -10.6% | 36% | +249.3% |
| 15% | -19.3% | 21% | +215.5% |
| 20% | -27.2% | 14% | +184.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 39¢ | 38¢ | $500 | $482 | −$18 (-4%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 58¢ | 42¢ | $200 | $147 | −$53 (-27%) |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $107 | +$7 (+7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | Jun 28 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $202 | +$80 | +40% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $503 | +$100 | +20% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 19 | $253 | +$171 | +67% |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | May 04 | $1,000 | +$263 | +26% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Apr 22 | $1,000 | +$260 | +26% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12? | Apr 22 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 22 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Apr 13 | $20 | +$6 | +29% |
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Ca | Apr 13 | $50 | +$108 | +216% |
| UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) | Apr 12 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Car | Apr 12 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Apr 11 | $1,000 | −$975 | -98% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | Apr 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | Apr 11 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 7? | Apr 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 11 | $1,000 | −$525 | -52% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on April 7? | Apr 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 11 | $3,500 | +$36,816 | +1052% |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 11 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Apr 11 | $100 | +$354 | +354% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Apr 08 | $1,000 | +$333 | +33% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 07 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Apr 07 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 10? | Apr 07 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 06 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |