Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

Chart Positions 9 History 221 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$275
14 days+$1,320
30 days+$3,325
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? No 100¢ 100¢ $17,929 $17,991 +$62 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $4,930 $4,972 +$42 (+1%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 94¢ 99¢ $4,700 $4,962 +$262 (+6%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $4,925 $4,947 +$22 (+0%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $4,915 $4,912 −$2 (-0%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $4,895 $4,898 +$2 (+0%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 98¢ $4,870 $4,878 +$8 (+0%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 99¢ 100¢ $2,897 $2,910 +$13 (+0%)
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No 99¢ 100¢ $1,200 $1,212 +$12 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? Jun 09 $1,970 +$30 +2%
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? Jun 09 $2,464 +$52 +2%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian Jun 09 $2,982 +$18 +1%
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 06 $3 $0 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1? Jun 06 $89 +$1 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week Jun 06 $1,051 +$21 +2%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1? Jun 06 $1,228 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $1,983 +$6 +0%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 06 $3,740 +$7 +0%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 06 $4,917 +$10 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week Jun 06 $4,975 +$25 +0%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 06 $9,446 +$27 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week Jun 06 $29,970 +$30 +0%
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombi Jun 05 $539 +$8 +2%
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean loca Jun 05 $2,964 +$36 +1%
between 39 and 41 million views Jun 03 $472 +$29 +6%
between 41 and 43 million views Jun 03 $1,990 +$10 +0%
43 million or more views Jun 03 $19,980 +$20 +0%
Will Solana reach $130 in May? Jun 01 $3,399 +$66 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 01 $4,946 +$54 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? Jun 01 $4,970 +$30 +1%
Will Solana reach $120 in May? Jun 01 $5,958 +$42 +1%
Will Solana reach $100 in May? Jun 01 $7,240 +$14 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? Jun 01 $8,641 +$85 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? Jun 01 $9,960 +$40 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? Jun 01 $14,926 +$74 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? Jun 01 $29,972 +$28 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Jun 01 $55,292 +$116 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 01 $2,986 +$14 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May? Jun 01 $2,991 +$9 +0%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives i Jun 01 $4,761 +$281 +6%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 Jun 01 $19,980 +$20 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? May 31 $1,950 +$25 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 May 31 $1,053 +$2 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 May 31 $1,721 +$3 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 May 31 $5,928 +$34 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 May 31 $5,965 +$44 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1? May 31 $5,071 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 25? May 25 $4,980 +$20 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1? May 23 $4,754 +$41 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1? May 23 $14,970 +$30 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week May 23 $22,942 +$58 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week May 23 $28,951 +$332 +1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week May 23 $31,147 −$208 -1%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week May 23 $49,854 +$146 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week May 23 $52,889 +$112 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6 May 22 $1,398 +$1 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 6 May 22 $5,035 +$134 +3%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6? May 22 $19,485 +$12 +0%
Will MrBeast's next video get 66 million or more views on day 6? May 22 $18,190 +$34 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% +$524
crypto 22% +$6,091
politics 13% +$74,929
finance 3% +$80
tech 1% +$22
world 0% +$36
sports 0% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $2,862 2d
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? BUY No 98¢ $4,164 4d
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? BUY No 99¢ $66 4d
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? BUY No 99¢ $66 4d
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? BUY No 98¢ $69 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $2 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $108 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $98 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $60 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $98 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $214 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $98 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $29 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $602 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $467 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $55 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $118 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $65 4d
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 4d
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $908 4d
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $657 4d
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $49 4d
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $49 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +0.9% -8.7% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 92 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 221 +2.7% -7.1% 96% 1% -5.2%
all 221 +2.7% -7.1% 96% 1% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 1% -5.2%
10% -16.0% 1% -14.3%
15% ← realistic here -24.1% 1% -22.5%
20% -31.6% 1% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51,682.92 · official $51,682.92 (match) · 3500 history records