Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:45:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x8239…fa3d
crypto · 213 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$33 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses89 / 124
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)213 / 213
History coverage133d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +58%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +115%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +313%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +81%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Mar 18 $1 −$1 -99%
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South A Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$28
sports 8% −$2
other 0% −$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 7h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 88¢ $1 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +1.9% -7.8% 58% 52% -9.2%
≤30d 48 +1.9% -7.8% 58% 52% -9.2%
≤90d 49 -0.1% -9.6% 57% 51% -10.3%
all 213 -4.9% -13.9% 42% 40% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 40% -17.0%
10% -22.2% 34% -25.0%
15% -29.7% 31% -32.2%
20% -36.6% 25% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 459 history records