Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x8232…d12f
sports · 396 markets active 2h ago
6.5score
+$5,466 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,727 · open −$135
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,114
Realized+$5,727
Unrealized−$135
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses267 / 123
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$440
Open positions6
Markets (closed)390 / 396
History coverage139d
Avg bet$266
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 6 History 390 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,685
7 days−$2,685
14 days−$2,578
30 days+$382
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? Yes 78¢ 85¢ $379 $413 +$34 (+9%)
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No 89¢ 86¢ $320 $310 −$10 (-3%)
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 85¢ 85¢ $250 $250 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Germany 84¢ 84¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 24¢ $100 $42 −$58 (-58%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $104 −$29 -28%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 13 $1,038 −$1,038 -100%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qual Jun 13 $89 −$89 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $252 −$252 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $305 −$290 -95%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $101 +$21 +21%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $101 +$24 +24%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $101 +$29 +28%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $101 +$42 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $101 +$53 +52%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $101 −$10 -10%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs BALU (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Cl Jun 02 $100 +$3 +3%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 02 $100 +$4 +4%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Jun 02 $100 +$7 +7%
Dota 2: F9 Team vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Jun 02 $100 +$9 +9%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Jun 02 $101 +$28 +27%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Jun 02 $101 +$66 +65%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier May 30 $101 +$23 +23%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul May 30 $20 +$7 +32%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 30 $20 +$8 +40%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 30 $1,188 +$146 +12%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $20 +$5 +26%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $20 +$8 +38%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $20 +$11 +55%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $20 +$12 +57%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $1,054 +$159 +15%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $20 +$5 +24%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $20 +$11 +55%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $20 +$25 +124%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $20 +$17 +82%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $20 +$24 +118%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$5,454
other 10% +$124
world 0% $0
crypto 0% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 70¢ $76 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $104 7h
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 84¢ $104 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $105 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $105 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 82¢ $101 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $101 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $101 3d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 80¢ $101 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY G2 77¢ $101 5d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Aurora 54¢ $101 8d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 53¢ $101 8d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL Team Falcons 50¢ $91 11d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Falcons 54¢ $101 11d
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe BUY Enjoy 78¢ $101 12d
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe BUY MODUS 60¢ $101 12d
Dota 2: F9 Team vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe BUY Flame Team 91¢ $100 12d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Hanwha Life Esports 96¢ $100 13d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs BALU (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Cl BUY LGD Gaming 97¢ $100 13d
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western BUY Natus Vincere 93¢ $100 13d
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier BUY Team Liquid 21¢ $102 14d
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Spirit 66¢ $101 14d
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qual BUY Team Spirit 46¢ $89 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 40¢ $102 14d
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern BUY Yellow Submarine 76¢ $101 14d
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier BUY Team Spirit 81¢ $101 14d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BUY BetBoom Team 90¢ $1,087 15d
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BUY Team Liquid 71¢ $20 15d
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul BUY Casper Ruud 75¢ $20 15d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $101 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -74.3% -76.8% 17% 17% -80.0%
≤30d 88 -4.4% -13.5% 62% 56% -7.8%
≤90d 251 -2.6% -11.9% 67% 54% -6.5%
all 390 +0.1% -9.4% 68% 55% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 55% -4.4%
10% -18.1% 40% -13.6%
15% -26.0% 25% -21.9%
20% -33.3% 18% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,113.82 · official $1,113.82 (match) · 921 history records