Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:57:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x8221…2217
sports · 51 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$42 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses29 / 22
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage30d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 0 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$151
7 days+$159
14 days+$144
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 0.5 Over 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score Yes 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 67¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Over 81¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Iraq vs. Venezuela: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valencia vs. Joventut Joventut 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BC Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Juventus Utena BC Juventus Utena 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $50 −$2 -3%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $101 +$32 +32%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $20 +$5 +24%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 +$30 +148%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $20 −$9 -44%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 −$15 -72%
BC Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Juventus Utena Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 +$9 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $213 +$102 +48%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $20 +$3 +16%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $20 +$6 +29%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $20 +$5 +26%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $20 +$4 +18%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $20 +$5 +26%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $20 +$4 +20%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $20 +$3 +17%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $20 +$3 +17%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $20 +$4 +21%
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 May 31 $27 −$27 -99%
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5 May 31 $19 +$8 +42%
Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 May 30 $15 +$4 +26%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 May 27 $30 −$30 -99%
CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5 May 26 $50 −$50 -99%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scor May 24 $103 −$102 -99%
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score May 23 $71 +$32 +46%
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score May 22 $57 +$34 +60%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? May 21 $10 −$10 -98%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score May 21 $10 −$10 -99%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score May 20 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 20 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 20 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 20 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 20 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 20 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 20 $5 $0 +2%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score May 19 $47 +$31 +67%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score May 19 $60 +$33 +55%
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18? May 18 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $47 +$20 +42%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $61 −$60 -99%
Will FC København win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $30 +$15 +48%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15? May 15 $34 −$34 -99%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? May 14 $27 +$7 +26%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? May 14 $20 +$7 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$37
other 23% −$76
crypto 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $133 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 75¢ $101 4h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 84¢ $51 6h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $20 6h
Valencia vs. Joventut BUY Joventut 0¢ $1 6h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai SELL Partizan 34¢ $11 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 9¢ $6 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $20 7h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin BUY FC Bayern Munchen 80¢ $20 8h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY Partizan 59¢ $20 8h
BC Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Juventus Utena BUY BC Juventus Utena 0¢ $1 8h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $20 27h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 65¢ $108 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $85 32h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 68¢ $48 32h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $50 32h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $20 32h
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $20 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 77¢ $20 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 79¢ $20 2d
Iraq vs. Venezuela: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 3d
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 63¢ $20 3d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 84¢ $20 3d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 79¢ $20 3d
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 83¢ $20 4d
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 85¢ $20 4d
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 85¢ $20 4d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $20 4d
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $27 12d
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $19 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -1.6% -11.0% 67% 67% +11.7%
≤30d 49 -15.2% -23.3% 57% 55% -12.2%
≤90d 51 -15.9% -23.9% 57% 55% -12.1%
all 51 -15.9% -23.9% 57% 55% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.9% 55% -12.1%
10% -31.2% 43% -20.5%
15% -37.8% 25% -28.2%
20% -43.9% 12% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 91 history records