trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 44% | 44% | +19.5% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +46.0% | +32.1% | 53% | 53% | +26.0% |
| ≤90d | 58 | +24.1% | +12.3% | 36% | 36% | +13.3% |
| all | 58 | +24.1% | +12.3% | 36% | 36% | +13.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.3% | 36% | +13.3% |
| 10% | +1.6% | 34% | +2.4% |
| 15% | -8.3% | 34% | -7.5% |
| 20% | -17.2% | 34% | -16.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 84¢ | 66¢ | $59 | $47 | −$12 (-21%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $10 | +$16 | +156% |
| Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $45 | +$9 | +20% |
| Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt? | Jun 22 | $2 | +$6 | +287% |
| Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt? | Jun 22 | $3 | +$2 | +54% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$9 | +468% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $2 | +$2 | +103% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | +$3 | +170% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $6 | +$6 | +99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $6 | +$12 | +203% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $2 | +$4 | +213% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 20 | $2 | +$3 | +170% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 19 | $1 | +$2 | +226% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 10 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 06 | $2 | +$5 | +250% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 30 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 30 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 29 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 28 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 27 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 27 | $1 | +$5 | +550% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 25 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 24 | $1 | +$1 | +146% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 24 | $1 | +$2 | +241% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 22 | $2 | +$7 | +363% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $1 | +$10 | +981% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 21 | $1 | +$2 | +188% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $1 | +$2 | +129% |