trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | No | 55¢ | 55¢ | $13 | $13 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026? | No | 8¢ | 8¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | Clutchain | 72¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+38%) |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Up | 71¢ | 0¢ | $38 | $0 | −$38 (-100%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz | Jun 12 | $24 | −$3 | -12% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Jun 12 | $41 | +$6 | +14% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Jun 12 | $38 | −$38 | -99% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Jun 12 | $54 | $0 | +1% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Jun 12 | $29 | +$2 | +8% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $16 | +$1 | +8% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $228 | +$13 | +6% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 11 | $67 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 11 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 11 | $24 | +$4 | +15% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -15.1% | -23.1% | 53% | 18% | -13.2% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -15.1% | -23.1% | 53% | 18% | -13.2% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -15.1% | -23.1% | 53% | 18% | -13.2% |
| all | 17 | -15.1% | -23.1% | 53% | 18% | -13.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -23.1% | 18% | -13.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -30.5% | 6% | -21.5% |
| 15% | -37.2% | 0% | -29.1% |
| 20% | -43.4% | 0% | -36.0% |